← All Elf Ignition variants

Polar Forecast Elf Ignition

✦ Polar ForecastUnusual1mo ago

This price has not changed since 2026-09-30 18:10 UTC. It reflects the last observed trade rather than current market value, and this page is excluded from our sitemap for that reason.

Sell price
16 keys, 59.22 ref
Buy price
14 keys, 45.88 ref
In keys
16.9 keys
In USD
$36.60 at the Steam key rate

Community price on backpack.tf: 17.0 keys, last changed 2024-03-30 (2.6y ago). The live quote above, 16.9 keys, is the same and last moved 1mo ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.

Price history

137 observations

Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.

The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.

Polar Forecast Elf Ignition sell price, 2025-09-25 to 2026-11-05: 137 observations, from 17.3 keys to 16.0 keys. Sampled evenly across the range.
Observed (UTC)SellBuy
25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC17.3 keys14.2 keys
19 OCT 2025 · 22:17 UTC15.7 keys14.2 keys
30 JUN 2026 · 03:12 UTC12.0 keys10.4 keys
19 JUL 2026 · 22:44 UTC11.2 keys9.77 keys
19 AUG 2026 · 00:34 UTC14.6 keys12.7 keys
23 AUG 2026 · 16:11 UTC14.3 keys12.4 keys
26 AUG 2026 · 06:09 UTC14.0 keys12.2 keys
30 AUG 2026 · 02:10 UTC14.8 keys12.9 keys
2 SEP 2026 · 06:09 UTC14.5 keys12.6 keys
12 SEP 2026 · 02:08 UTC14.6 keys12.7 keys
22 SEP 2026 · 12:09 UTC12.7 keys11.1 keys
30 SEP 2026 · 06:08 UTC16.8 keys14.6 keys
7 OCT 2026 · 19:10 UTC16.1 keys14.0 keys
10 OCT 2026 · 05:11 UTC16.7 keys14.6 keys
23 OCT 2026 · 15:12 UTC16.3 keys13.7 keys
26 OCT 2026 · 15:12 UTC16.4 keys14.3 keys
26 OCT 2026 · 23:12 UTC16.4 keys13.4 keys
27 OCT 2026 · 05:12 UTC16.4 keys14.4 keys
27 OCT 2026 · 13:12 UTC16.5 keys14.7 keys
27 OCT 2026 · 19:12 UTC16.4 keys14.7 keys
28 OCT 2026 · 17:12 UTC16.2 keys14.5 keys
29 OCT 2026 · 15:12 UTC16.0 keys13.9 keys
29 OCT 2026 · 23:12 UTC16.1 keys14.4 keys
30 OCT 2026 · 13:12 UTC16.2 keys12.8 keys
31 OCT 2026 · 03:12 UTC16.1 keys14.1 keys
31 OCT 2026 · 09:12 UTC16.0 keys14.2 keys
31 OCT 2026 · 17:13 UTC16.0 keys14.2 keys
31 OCT 2026 · 23:12 UTC15.8 keys14.2 keys
1 NOV 2026 · 07:12 UTC16.0 keys14.5 keys
1 NOV 2026 · 13:12 UTC16.0 keys14.6 keys
1 NOV 2026 · 21:12 UTC15.9 keys14.5 keys
2 NOV 2026 · 05:12 UTC16.0 keys14.8 keys
2 NOV 2026 · 13:12 UTC16.1 keys14.4 keys
2 NOV 2026 · 19:12 UTC16.1 keys14.6 keys
3 NOV 2026 · 03:12 UTC16.1 keys14.7 keys
3 NOV 2026 · 09:11 UTC16.1 keys14.8 keys
4 NOV 2026 · 03:12 UTC15.9 keys14.3 keys
4 NOV 2026 · 11:11 UTC16.0 keys12.2 keys
4 NOV 2026 · 21:12 UTC16.0 keys14.1 keys
5 NOV 2026 · 03:12 UTC16.0 keys14.2 keys

Price history in numbers

137 readings since 25 Sep 2025

Over the last 30 days the Polar Forecast Elf Ignition's sell price ranged from 15.8 keys to 17.0 keys and is down 0.8% after 62 moves. Over a year it ranged from 11.1 keys to 17.0 keys (up 4.0%). Today's 16.0 keys sits in the upper third of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 11.1 keys (22 Jun 2026) and the highest 17.3 keys (30 Sep 2025). The price has moved 104 times since we began recording it — about once every 4 days.

WindowLowHighChangeMovesReadings
30 days15.8 keys17.0 keys−0.8%6295
90 days12.0 keys17.0 keys+21.5%91124
a year11.1 keys17.0 keys+4.0%99132

Details

SKU31253;5;u218
Last price change2026-09-30 18:10 UTC
Key rate when recorded62.78 ref

Same effect, other items

the effect across the catalogue

Other effects on the Elf Ignition

same item, different effect
ItemValueUpdated
Sunbeams Elf Ignition65.4 keys1mo ago
Burning Flames Elf Ignition56.6 keys1mo ago
Hellspawned Horns Elf Ignition54.8 keys1mo ago
Purple Energy Elf Ignition45.0 keys2mo ago
Shining Stag Elf Ignition43.6 keys1mo ago
Green Energy Elf Ignition30.3 keys1mo ago
Holiday Horns Elf Ignition24.3 keys2mo ago
Smissmas Tree Elf Ignition22.0 keys3mo ago
Festive Lights Elf Ignition20.9 keys1mo ago
Analog Fortress Elf Ignition19.3 keys1mo ago

Priced similarly

across the catalogue