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Polar Forecast Gnome Dome

✦ Polar ForecastUnusual2mo ago

This price has not changed since 2026-09-12 08:10 UTC. It reflects the last observed trade rather than current market value, and this page is excluded from our sitemap for that reason.

Sell price
25 keys, 35.33 ref
Buy price
22 keys, 14 ref
In keys
25.6 keys
In USD
$54.96 at the Steam key rate
Steam Market asking price
$65.01 asking, not sold

Community price on backpack.tf: 33.0 keys, last changed 2026-02-20 (8mo ago). The live quote above, 25.6 keys, is 23% lower and last moved 2mo ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.

Steam Market asking price: $65.01 — the lowest of one listing for the Polar Forecast effect when we looked on 2026-10-31 01:30 UTC (5d ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 25 keys, 35.33 ref shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Gnome Dome”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.

Price history

43 observations

Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.

The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.

Polar Forecast Gnome Dome sell price, 2026-03-09 to 2026-10-28: 43 observations, from 34.8 keys to 27.5 keys. Sampled evenly across the range.
Observed (UTC)SellBuy
9 MAR 2026 · 12:04 UTC34.8 keys31.3 keys
11 AUG 2026 · 21:11 UTC21.5 keys18.7 keys
20 AUG 2026 · 20:08 UTC24.3 keys21.1 keys
23 AUG 2026 · 20:09 UTC24.6 keys21.4 keys
24 AUG 2026 · 10:09 UTC24.8 keys21.5 keys
24 AUG 2026 · 12:09 UTC24.7 keys21.5 keys
24 AUG 2026 · 20:09 UTC24.9 keys21.6 keys
31 AUG 2026 · 04:09 UTC23.8 keys20.7 keys
31 AUG 2026 · 10:09 UTC23.8 keys20.7 keys
31 AUG 2026 · 14:09 UTC23.8 keys20.7 keys
31 AUG 2026 · 20:11 UTC23.3 keys20.3 keys
3 SEP 2026 · 14:08 UTC23.8 keys20.7 keys
3 SEP 2026 · 16:08 UTC24.6 keys21.4 keys
3 SEP 2026 · 18:10 UTC24.9 keys21.7 keys
3 SEP 2026 · 22:09 UTC24.5 keys21.3 keys
4 SEP 2026 · 00:09 UTC24.3 keys21.2 keys
6 SEP 2026 · 18:09 UTC23.8 keys20.7 keys
6 SEP 2026 · 22:09 UTC24.2 keys21.0 keys
7 SEP 2026 · 02:09 UTC24.2 keys21.1 keys
7 SEP 2026 · 14:08 UTC24.6 keys21.4 keys
9 SEP 2026 · 20:09 UTC24.5 keys21.3 keys
10 SEP 2026 · 08:08 UTC24.8 keys21.6 keys
11 SEP 2026 · 00:08 UTC25.1 keys21.9 keys
11 SEP 2026 · 12:09 UTC25.2 keys21.9 keys
12 SEP 2026 · 08:10 UTC25.6 keys22.2 keys
3 OCT 2026 · 11:09 UTC24.9 keys21.7 keys
4 OCT 2026 · 09:09 UTC21.3 keys18.5 keys
11 OCT 2026 · 03:10 UTC27.2 keys23.6 keys
11 OCT 2026 · 15:09 UTC27.5 keys23.9 keys
12 OCT 2026 · 03:10 UTC27.5 keys23.9 keys
24 OCT 2026 · 08:17 UTC28.1 keys24.2 keys
25 OCT 2026 · 21:12 UTC27.9 keys24.0 keys
26 OCT 2026 · 03:12 UTC28.0 keys24.1 keys
26 OCT 2026 · 09:12 UTC28.1 keys24.3 keys
27 OCT 2026 · 21:12 UTC28.1 keys24.1 keys
27 OCT 2026 · 23:12 UTC28.1 keys25.2 keys
28 OCT 2026 · 01:11 UTC28.0 keys25.7 keys
28 OCT 2026 · 13:11 UTC27.8 keys25.6 keys
28 OCT 2026 · 17:12 UTC27.7 keys25.5 keys
28 OCT 2026 · 21:12 UTC27.5 keys25.3 keys

Price history in numbers

43 readings since 9 Mar 2026

Over the last 30 days the Polar Forecast Gnome Dome's sell price ranged from 27.2 keys to 28.1 keys and is up 1.1% after 11 moves. Over a year it ranged from 21.3 keys to 34.8 keys (down 21.1%). Today's 27.5 keys sits in the middle of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 21.3 keys (4 Oct 2026) and the highest 34.8 keys (9 Mar 2026). The price has moved 40 times since we began recording it — about once every 6 days.

WindowLowHighChangeMovesReadings
30 days27.2 keys28.1 keys+1.1%1114
90 days21.3 keys28.1 keys+28.1%3942
a year21.3 keys34.8 keys−21.1%4043

Details

SKU31242;5;u218
Last price change2026-09-12 08:10 UTC
Key rate when recorded62.67 ref

Same effect, other items

the effect across the catalogue

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