This price has not changed since 2025-11-10 02:12 UTC. It reflects the last observed trade rather than current market value, and this page is excluded from our sitemap for that reason.
Community price on backpack.tf: 20.0 keys, last changed 2023-10-30 (2.9y ago). The live quote above, 20.0 keys, is the same and last moved 10mo ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.
Steam Market asking price: $56.76 — the lowest of one listing for the Bubbling effect when we looked on 2026-09-03 01:35 UTC (3d ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 20 keys shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Misfortune Fedora”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.
Price history
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.
| Observed (UTC) | Sell | Buy |
|---|---|---|
| 25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC | 19.9 keys | 16.3 keys |
| 30 SEP 2025 · 22:33 UTC | 19.9 keys | 16.3 keys |
| 9 OCT 2025 · 10:06 UTC | 19.0 keys | 17.1 keys |
| 19 OCT 2025 · 22:00 UTC | 18.1 keys | 16.3 keys |
| 25 OCT 2025 · 18:16 UTC | 17.2 keys | 15.5 keys |
| 10 NOV 2025 · 02:12 UTC | 20.0 keys | 18.0 keys |
Price history in numbers
6 readings since 25 Sep 2025The price has not been re-read inside the last 30 days. Over a year it ranged from 17.2 keys to 20.0 keys (up 0.5%). Today's 20.0 keys sits at the top of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 17.2 keys (25 Oct 2025) and the highest 20.0 keys (10 Nov 2025). The price has moved 5 times since we began recording it — about once every 9 days.
| Window | Low | High | Change | Moves | Readings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| a year | 17.2 keys | 20.0 keys | +0.5% | 5 | 6 |
Details
| SKU | 31136;5;u34 |
|---|---|
| Last price change | 2025-11-10 02:12 UTC |
| Key rate when recorded | 64.33 ref |
Same effect, other items
the effect across the catalogue| Item | Value | Updated |
|---|---|---|
| 1,000 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 880 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 640 keys | 2mo ago | |
| 339 keys | 2d ago | |
| 260 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 240 keys | 5d ago | |
| 213 keys | 20d ago | |
| 216 keys | 10h ago | |
| 202 keys | 5d ago | |
| 179 keys | 19d ago |
Other effects on the Misfortune Fedora
same item, different effect| Item | Value | Updated |
|---|---|---|
| 185 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 184 keys | 2mo ago | |
| 160 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 112 keys | 8mo ago | |
| 100 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 79.9 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 73.9 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 68.4 keys | 23d ago | |
| 56.9 keys | 1d ago | |
| 45.4 keys | 4h ago |
Priced similarly
across the catalogue| Item | Value | Updated |
|---|---|---|
| 20.0 keys | 3mo ago | |
| 20.0 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 20.0 keys | 2mo ago | |
| 20.0 keys | 3mo ago | |
| 20.0 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 20.0 keys | 9mo ago | |
| 20.0 keys | 14d ago | |
| 20.0 keys | 10mo ago |