This price has not changed since 2025-11-10 02:12 UTC. It reflects the last observed trade rather than current market value, and this page is excluded from our sitemap for that reason.
Community price on backpack.tf: 20.0 keys, last changed 2023-10-30 (3.0y ago). The live quote above, 20.0 keys, is the same and last moved 12mo ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.
Steam Market asking price: $54.46 — the lowest of one listing for the Bubbling effect when we looked on 2026-10-30 01:40 UTC (6d ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 20 keys shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Misfortune Fedora”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.
Price history
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.
| Observed (UTC) | Sell | Buy |
|---|---|---|
| 25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC | 19.9 keys | 16.3 keys |
| 30 SEP 2025 · 22:33 UTC | 19.9 keys | 16.3 keys |
| 9 OCT 2025 · 10:06 UTC | 19.0 keys | 17.1 keys |
| 19 OCT 2025 · 22:00 UTC | 18.1 keys | 16.3 keys |
| 25 OCT 2025 · 18:16 UTC | 17.2 keys | 15.5 keys |
| 10 NOV 2025 · 02:12 UTC | 20.0 keys | 18.0 keys |
| 14 OCT 2026 · 03:08 UTC | 14.7 keys | 12.8 keys |
| 17 OCT 2026 · 19:09 UTC | 15.2 keys | 13.2 keys |
| 22 OCT 2026 · 17:12 UTC | 15.2 keys | 12.5 keys |
| 23 OCT 2026 · 15:12 UTC | 15.2 keys | 12.9 keys |
| 25 OCT 2026 · 02:44 UTC | 15.2 keys | 12.4 keys |
| 28 OCT 2026 · 01:11 UTC | 15.2 keys | 12.7 keys |
| 30 OCT 2026 · 17:12 UTC | 15.0 keys | 12.3 keys |
| 31 OCT 2026 · 19:12 UTC | 14.9 keys | 12.1 keys |
| 1 NOV 2026 · 13:12 UTC | 14.9 keys | 12.5 keys |
Price history in numbers
15 readings since 25 Sep 2025Over the last 30 days the Bubbling Misfortune Fedora's sell price ranged from 14.7 keys to 15.2 keys and is up 1.2% after 5 moves. Over a year it ranged from 14.7 keys to 20.0 keys (down 25.4%). Today's 14.9 keys sits at the bottom of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 14.7 keys (14 Oct 2026) and the highest 20.0 keys (10 Nov 2025). The price has moved 11 times since we began recording it — about once every 37 days.
| Window | Low | High | Change | Moves | Readings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 days | 14.7 keys | 15.2 keys | +1.2% | 5 | 9 |
| 90 days | 14.7 keys | 15.2 keys | +1.2% | 5 | 9 |
| a year | 14.7 keys | 20.0 keys | −25.4% | 6 | 10 |
Details
| SKU | 31136;5;u34 |
|---|---|
| Last price change | 2025-11-10 02:12 UTC |
| Key rate when recorded | 64.33 ref |
Same effect, other items
the effect across the catalogue| Item | Value | Updated |
|---|---|---|
| 1,000 keys | 12mo ago | |
| 880 keys | 12mo ago | |
| 640 keys | 4mo ago | |
| 266 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 259 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 260 keys | 12mo ago | |
| 260 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 216 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 213 keys | 3mo ago | |
| 178 keys | 2mo ago |
Other effects on the Misfortune Fedora
same item, different effect| Item | Value | Updated |
|---|---|---|
| 185 keys | 12mo ago | |
| 184 keys | 4mo ago | |
| 160 keys | 12mo ago | |
| 112 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 100 keys | 12mo ago | |
| 73.9 keys | 12mo ago | |
| 68.4 keys | 3mo ago | |
| 66.5 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 58.0 keys | 2mo ago | |
| 48.6 keys | 1mo ago |
Priced similarly
across the catalogue| Item | Value | Updated |
|---|---|---|
| 20.0 keys | 5mo ago | |
| 20.0 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 20.0 keys | 4mo ago | |
| 20.0 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 20.0 keys | 5mo ago | |
| 20.0 keys | 5mo ago | |
| 20.0 keys | 5mo ago | |
| 20.0 keys | 5mo ago |