← All Misfortune Fedora variants
Pyroland Nightmare Misfortune Fedora
This price has not changed since 2026-07-27 02:45 UTC. It reflects the last observed trade rather than current market value, and this page is excluded from our sitemap for that reason.
Community price on backpack.tf: 46.0 keys, last changed 2022-12-22 (3.7y ago). The live quote above, 16.6 keys, is 64% lower and last moved 1mo ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.
Steam Market asking price: $86.62 — the lowest of one listing for the Pyroland Nightmare effect when we looked on 2026-09-03 01:35 UTC (3d ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 16 keys, 41.44 ref shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Misfortune Fedora”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.
Price history
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.
| Observed (UTC) | Sell | Buy |
|---|---|---|
| 25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC | 46.7 keys | 38.3 keys |
| 30 SEP 2025 · 22:33 UTC | 46.7 keys | 38.2 keys |
| 9 OCT 2025 · 10:06 UTC | 44.6 keys | 40.2 keys |
| 19 OCT 2025 · 22:00 UTC | 42.5 keys | 38.2 keys |
| 25 OCT 2025 · 18:16 UTC | 40.4 keys | 36.4 keys |
| 10 NOV 2025 · 02:12 UTC | 46.9 keys | 42.2 keys |
| 15 DEC 2025 · 08:48 UTC | 32.9 keys | 24.0 keys |
| 26 DEC 2025 · 09:14 UTC | 35.8 keys | 21.1 keys |
| 29 DEC 2025 · 14:59 UTC | 34.9 keys | 21.2 keys |
| 4 JAN 2026 · 20:52 UTC | 30.5 keys | 21.2 keys |
| 15 JAN 2026 · 00:20 UTC | 27.4 keys | 18.6 keys |
| 22 JAN 2026 · 01:45 UTC | 27.4 keys | 19.9 keys |
| 29 JAN 2026 · 03:45 UTC | 26.8 keys | 18.8 keys |
| 5 FEB 2026 · 16:27 UTC | 25.6 keys | 18.3 keys |
| 8 FEB 2026 · 22:44 UTC | 25.0 keys | 17.3 keys |
| 18 FEB 2026 · 14:42 UTC | 26.8 keys | 18.6 keys |
| 26 FEB 2026 · 18:42 UTC | 25.2 keys | 17.2 keys |
| 1 MAR 2026 · 08:43 UTC | 25.0 keys | 16.8 keys |
| 8 MAR 2026 · 20:43 UTC | 26.2 keys | 18.1 keys |
| 31 MAR 2026 · 00:31 UTC | 26.5 keys | 17.8 keys |
| 23 APR 2026 · 20:32 UTC | 25.6 keys | 11.5 keys |
| 7 MAY 2026 · 02:32 UTC | 25.2 keys | 17.2 keys |
| 10 MAY 2026 · 22:34 UTC | 26.7 keys | 18.3 keys |
| 17 MAY 2026 · 22:32 UTC | 28.2 keys | 18.7 keys |
| 24 MAY 2026 · 22:32 UTC | 28.1 keys | 18.3 keys |
| 31 MAY 2026 · 08:31 UTC | 28.1 keys | 11.9 keys |
| 18 JUN 2026 · 14:09 UTC | 29.8 keys | 8.16 keys |
| 5 JUL 2026 · 13:11 UTC | 24.0 keys | 20.9 keys |
| 11 JUL 2026 · 00:44 UTC | 22.7 keys | 19.7 keys |
| 18 JUL 2026 · 16:44 UTC | 21.8 keys | 19.0 keys |
| 27 JUL 2026 · 02:45 UTC | 16.6 keys | 14.5 keys |
Price history in numbers
31 readings since 25 Sep 2025The price has not been re-read inside the last 30 days. Over a year it ranged from 16.6 keys to 46.9 keys (down 64.4%). Today's 16.6 keys sits at the bottom of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 16.6 keys (27 Jul 2026) and the highest 46.9 keys (10 Nov 2025). The price has moved 29 times since we began recording it — about once every 11 days.
| Window | Low | High | Change | Moves | Readings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 days | 16.6 keys | 29.8 keys | −44.1% | 4 | 5 |
| a year | 16.6 keys | 46.9 keys | −64.4% | 29 | 31 |
Details
| SKU | 31136;5;u159 |
|---|---|
| Last price change | 2026-07-27 02:45 UTC |
| Key rate when recorded | 64.33 ref |
Same effect, other items
the effect across the catalogue| Item | Value | Updated |
|---|---|---|
| 481 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 225 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 111 keys | 7d ago | |
| 99.5 keys | 10h ago | |
| 74.1 keys | 6h ago | |
| 70.9 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 67.9 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 56.4 keys | 1d ago | |
| 52.9 keys | 5d ago | |
| 52.0 keys | 4h ago |
Other effects on the Misfortune Fedora
same item, different effect| Item | Value | Updated |
|---|---|---|
| 185 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 184 keys | 2mo ago | |
| 160 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 112 keys | 8mo ago | |
| 100 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 79.9 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 73.9 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 68.4 keys | 23d ago | |
| 56.9 keys | 1d ago | |
| 45.4 keys | 4h ago |
Priced similarly
across the catalogue| Item | Value | Updated |
|---|---|---|
| 17.1 keys | 1d ago | |
| 17.3 keys | 10h ago | |
| 16.6 keys | 14h ago | |
 Giger Counter | 17.3 keys | 4h ago |
| 17.0 keys | 4d ago | |
| 17.2 keys | 2d ago | |
| 16.6 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 17.0 keys | 2d ago |