Community price on backpack.tf: 9.00–13.0 keys, last changed 2025-02-14 (1.6y ago). The live quote above, 8.49 keys, is 6% lower and last moved 16h ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.
Steam Market asking price: $62.02 — the lowest of one listing for the Festive Falling Star effect when we looked on 2026-09-04 01:54 UTC (2d ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 8 keys, 30.33 ref shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Nightcap”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.
Price history
75 observations
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.
Festive Falling Star Nightcap sell price, 2025-09-25 to 2026-09-05: 75 observations, from 13.4 keys to 8.49 keys. Sampled evenly across the range.
Observed (UTC)
Sell
Buy
25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC
13.4 keys
7.58 keys
12 OCT 2025 · 21:40 UTC
11.0 keys
9.10 keys
29 OCT 2025 · 00:02 UTC
11.5 keys
7.07 keys
9 NOV 2025 · 22:31 UTC
11.7 keys
8.81 keys
23 NOV 2025 · 06:49 UTC
11.8 keys
10.3 keys
1 DEC 2025 · 23:00 UTC
11.4 keys
8.75 keys
15 DEC 2025 · 10:52 UTC
11.0 keys
9.25 keys
29 DEC 2025 · 00:59 UTC
10.1 keys
8.04 keys
14 JAN 2026 · 10:28 UTC
14.0 keys
8.33 keys
29 JAN 2026 · 17:45 UTC
11.8 keys
7.18 keys
12 FEB 2026 · 12:42 UTC
8.31 keys
6.96 keys
22 FEB 2026 · 14:42 UTC
8.37 keys
7.64 keys
8 MAR 2026 · 20:44 UTC
8.60 keys
7.76 keys
22 MAR 2026 · 10:07 UTC
11.0 keys
9.07 keys
10 APR 2026 · 10:30 UTC
10.8 keys
8.43 keys
15 APR 2026 · 08:32 UTC
10.7 keys
8.60 keys
1 MAY 2026 · 14:30 UTC
9.72 keys
7.61 keys
17 MAY 2026 · 22:33 UTC
10.0 keys
8.24 keys
8 JUN 2026 · 00:32 UTC
10.0 keys
7.56 keys
22 JUN 2026 · 02:13 UTC
9.46 keys
7.70 keys
5 JUL 2026 · 19:12 UTC
8.89 keys
7.73 keys
19 JUL 2026 · 08:44 UTC
9.45 keys
8.23 keys
3 AUG 2026 · 15:12 UTC
10.1 keys
8.84 keys
21 AUG 2026 · 10:09 UTC
8.86 keys
7.71 keys
21 AUG 2026 · 14:08 UTC
8.82 keys
7.67 keys
21 AUG 2026 · 22:09 UTC
9.05 keys
7.87 keys
25 AUG 2026 · 18:10 UTC
8.70 keys
7.56 keys
27 AUG 2026 · 08:09 UTC
9.47 keys
8.23 keys
27 AUG 2026 · 18:09 UTC
9.50 keys
8.26 keys
28 AUG 2026 · 04:09 UTC
9.57 keys
8.32 keys
28 AUG 2026 · 18:09 UTC
8.92 keys
7.76 keys
29 AUG 2026 · 08:10 UTC
9.37 keys
7.47 keys
29 AUG 2026 · 16:09 UTC
8.86 keys
7.71 keys
30 AUG 2026 · 00:10 UTC
9.01 keys
7.84 keys
30 AUG 2026 · 08:09 UTC
8.85 keys
7.69 keys
30 AUG 2026 · 10:09 UTC
8.94 keys
7.77 keys
31 AUG 2026 · 16:09 UTC
8.99 keys
7.81 keys
1 SEP 2026 · 22:08 UTC
10.3 keys
7.51 keys
3 SEP 2026 · 06:09 UTC
8.81 keys
7.65 keys
5 SEP 2026 · 00:08 UTC
8.49 keys
7.38 keys
Price history in numbers
75 readings since 25 Sep 2025
Over the last 30 days the Festive Falling Star Nightcap's sell price ranged from 8.49 keys to 11.4 keys and is down 19.7% after 30 moves. Over a year it ranged from 8.18 keys to 15.0 keys (down 36.5%). Today's 8.49 keys sits at the bottom of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 8.18 keys (29 Jul 2026) and the highest 15.0 keys (30 Sep 2025). The price has moved 73 times since we began recording it — about once every 5 days.