Community price on backpack.tf: 13.0–18.0 keys, last changed 2026-01-06 (8mo ago). The live quote above, 11.5 keys, is 12% lower and last moved 10d ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.
Steam Market asking price: $44.49 — the lowest of 2 listings for the Radiant Rivalry effect when we looked on 2026-09-04 01:54 UTC (2d ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 11 keys, 31.55 ref shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Nightcap”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.
Price history
33 observations
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.
Radiant Rivalry Nightcap sell price, 2025-09-25 to 2026-08-26: 33 observations, from 15.9 keys to 11.5 keys.
Observed (UTC)
Sell
Buy
25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC
15.9 keys
11.4 keys
30 SEP 2025 · 23:01 UTC
15.9 keys
12.2 keys
9 OCT 2025 · 10:31 UTC
15.2 keys
12.8 keys
19 OCT 2025 · 22:30 UTC
14.5 keys
12.2 keys
25 OCT 2025 · 18:42 UTC
13.8 keys
11.6 keys
10 NOV 2025 · 02:36 UTC
13.5 keys
11.4 keys
18 FEB 2026 · 08:40 UTC
13.6 keys
12.2 keys
5 MAR 2026 · 14:45 UTC
13.5 keys
6.11 keys
8 MAR 2026 · 22:43 UTC
13.3 keys
8.08 keys
15 MAR 2026 · 22:08 UTC
13.1 keys
8.74 keys
24 MAR 2026 · 22:08 UTC
13.2 keys
10.5 keys
1 APR 2026 · 00:31 UTC
11.5 keys
8.44 keys
28 APR 2026 · 18:31 UTC
12.0 keys
10.7 keys
3 MAY 2026 · 22:32 UTC
11.8 keys
10.7 keys
10 MAY 2026 · 22:34 UTC
12.5 keys
11.5 keys
17 MAY 2026 · 22:33 UTC
11.6 keys
9.70 keys
24 MAY 2026 · 22:32 UTC
11.6 keys
10.4 keys
1 JUN 2026 · 04:32 UTC
11.7 keys
10.7 keys
8 JUN 2026 · 00:32 UTC
11.6 keys
8.96 keys
15 JUN 2026 · 02:32 UTC
11.4 keys
6.46 keys
22 JUN 2026 · 00:12 UTC
11.9 keys
9.22 keys
29 JUN 2026 · 03:14 UTC
7.78 keys
6.77 keys
5 JUL 2026 · 17:11 UTC
10.5 keys
9.14 keys
12 JUL 2026 · 20:45 UTC
10.2 keys
8.87 keys
19 JUL 2026 · 22:44 UTC
10.2 keys
8.90 keys
29 JUL 2026 · 00:45 UTC
11.8 keys
10.2 keys
4 AUG 2026 · 09:12 UTC
10.8 keys
9.46 keys
11 AUG 2026 · 21:11 UTC
10.6 keys
9.23 keys
18 AUG 2026 · 09:10 UTC
11.1 keys
9.62 keys
25 AUG 2026 · 18:10 UTC
10.8 keys
9.36 keys
25 AUG 2026 · 20:10 UTC
10.8 keys
9.36 keys
26 AUG 2026 · 08:09 UTC
11.2 keys
9.76 keys
26 AUG 2026 · 20:10 UTC
11.5 keys
9.99 keys
Price history in numbers
33 readings since 25 Sep 2025
Over the last 30 days the Radiant Rivalry Nightcap's sell price ranged from 10.6 keys to 11.5 keys and is up 8.7% after 5 moves. Over a year it ranged from 7.78 keys to 15.9 keys (down 27.7%). Today's 11.5 keys sits in the middle of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 7.78 keys (29 Jun 2026) and the highest 15.9 keys (30 Sep 2025). The price has moved 32 times since we began recording it — about once every 10 days.