Community price on backpack.tf: 16.0–18.0 keys, last changed 2024-03-30 (2.4y ago). The live quote above, 11.6 keys, is 28% lower and last moved 4h ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.
Steam Market asking price: $65.00 — the lowest of one listing for the Orbiting Fire effect when we looked on 2026-09-03 01:21 UTC (3d ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 11 keys, 36 ref shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Old Guadalajara”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.
Price history
28 observations
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.
Orbiting Fire Old Guadalajara sell price, 2025-09-25 to 2026-09-05: 28 observations, from 18.2 keys to 11.6 keys.
Observed (UTC)
Sell
Buy
25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC
18.2 keys
13.2 keys
30 SEP 2025 · 20:57 UTC
18.2 keys
13.3 keys
9 OCT 2025 · 08:39 UTC
17.4 keys
13.9 keys
19 OCT 2025 · 20:27 UTC
16.6 keys
13.3 keys
25 OCT 2025 · 16:47 UTC
15.8 keys
12.6 keys
10 NOV 2025 · 00:49 UTC
16.7 keys
13.3 keys
19 NOV 2025 · 14:41 UTC
16.5 keys
13.0 keys
3 DEC 2025 · 14:55 UTC
17.2 keys
13.6 keys
31 DEC 2025 · 02:53 UTC
15.2 keys
12.1 keys
23 JAN 2026 · 11:43 UTC
16.9 keys
11.2 keys
14 MAR 2026 · 00:09 UTC
18.0 keys
11.3 keys
22 JUN 2026 · 17:13 UTC
13.8 keys
12.0 keys
2 JUL 2026 · 21:11 UTC
13.5 keys
11.7 keys
12 JUL 2026 · 16:45 UTC
13.6 keys
11.9 keys
19 JUL 2026 · 20:45 UTC
14.3 keys
12.4 keys
31 JUL 2026 · 04:44 UTC
14.8 keys
12.9 keys
1 AUG 2026 · 16:44 UTC
15.4 keys
13.3 keys
11 AUG 2026 · 21:11 UTC
15.4 keys
13.4 keys
19 AUG 2026 · 14:10 UTC
8.26 keys
7.18 keys
21 AUG 2026 · 12:08 UTC
9.91 keys
8.62 keys
23 AUG 2026 · 08:08 UTC
9.50 keys
8.26 keys
25 AUG 2026 · 10:09 UTC
9.51 keys
8.27 keys
26 AUG 2026 · 12:09 UTC
9.51 keys
8.27 keys
31 AUG 2026 · 10:09 UTC
11.9 keys
10.4 keys
1 SEP 2026 · 02:09 UTC
11.7 keys
10.2 keys
2 SEP 2026 · 12:08 UTC
11.5 keys
10.0 keys
3 SEP 2026 · 18:09 UTC
9.88 keys
8.59 keys
5 SEP 2026 · 14:08 UTC
11.6 keys
10.1 keys
Price history in numbers
28 readings since 25 Sep 2025
Over the last 30 days the Orbiting Fire Old Guadalajara's sell price ranged from 8.26 keys to 15.4 keys and is down 25.0% after 10 moves. Over a year it ranged from 8.26 keys to 18.2 keys (down 36.4%). Today's 11.6 keys sits in the middle of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 8.26 keys (19 Aug 2026) and the highest 18.2 keys (30 Sep 2025). The price has moved 27 times since we began recording it — about once every 13 days.
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