Community price on backpack.tf: 13.0–15.0 keys, last changed 2025-09-14 (12mo ago). The live quote above, 15.3 keys, is 18% higher and last moved 4d ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.
Steam Market asking price: $63.73 — the lowest of one listing for the Circling Heart effect when we looked on 2026-09-03 01:29 UTC (3d ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 15 keys, 19 ref shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Polar Bear”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.
Price history
41 observations
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.
Circling Heart Polar Bear sell price, 2025-09-25 to 2026-09-02: 41 observations, from 16.5 keys to 15.3 keys. Sampled evenly across the range.
Observed (UTC)
Sell
Buy
25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC
16.5 keys
10.9 keys
30 SEP 2025 · 21:59 UTC
16.5 keys
11.8 keys
9 OCT 2025 · 09:36 UTC
15.8 keys
12.4 keys
19 OCT 2025 · 21:27 UTC
15.0 keys
11.8 keys
25 OCT 2025 · 17:44 UTC
14.3 keys
11.3 keys
10 NOV 2025 · 01:44 UTC
15.1 keys
11.9 keys
19 NOV 2025 · 10:44 UTC
15.2 keys
10.3 keys
23 NOV 2025 · 08:45 UTC
16.6 keys
11.4 keys
15 DEC 2025 · 02:56 UTC
15.8 keys
12.2 keys
22 DEC 2025 · 01:11 UTC
15.9 keys
12.4 keys
29 DEC 2025 · 22:55 UTC
15.5 keys
12.5 keys
3 JAN 2026 · 20:52 UTC
15.3 keys
12.4 keys
11 JAN 2026 · 05:40 UTC
14.0 keys
11.5 keys
18 JAN 2026 · 15:34 UTC
14.1 keys
11.6 keys
5 APR 2026 · 18:29 UTC
17.8 keys
13.2 keys
12 APR 2026 · 20:30 UTC
17.5 keys
11.3 keys
19 APR 2026 · 22:31 UTC
17.9 keys
12.7 keys
29 APR 2026 · 00:32 UTC
17.0 keys
11.2 keys
3 MAY 2026 · 22:32 UTC
16.7 keys
12.0 keys
12 MAY 2026 · 14:32 UTC
17.7 keys
12.4 keys
24 MAY 2026 · 00:32 UTC
17.1 keys
11.6 keys
1 JUN 2026 · 00:30 UTC
17.4 keys
10.9 keys
8 JUN 2026 · 02:30 UTC
17.1 keys
12.3 keys
15 JUN 2026 · 00:32 UTC
17.0 keys
12.3 keys
22 JUN 2026 · 00:11 UTC
17.5 keys
13.2 keys
29 JUN 2026 · 03:14 UTC
16.1 keys
14.0 keys
5 JUL 2026 · 19:12 UTC
15.2 keys
13.2 keys
12 JUL 2026 · 16:45 UTC
13.1 keys
11.4 keys
19 JUL 2026 · 22:44 UTC
15.1 keys
13.1 keys
29 JUL 2026 · 22:45 UTC
15.7 keys
13.6 keys
3 AUG 2026 · 15:12 UTC
16.2 keys
14.1 keys
10 AUG 2026 · 21:12 UTC
16.4 keys
14.2 keys
20 AUG 2026 · 10:11 UTC
15.8 keys
13.7 keys
22 AUG 2026 · 02:09 UTC
15.7 keys
13.7 keys
22 AUG 2026 · 14:08 UTC
15.8 keys
13.7 keys
23 AUG 2026 · 04:09 UTC
15.8 keys
13.8 keys
25 AUG 2026 · 10:09 UTC
15.8 keys
13.8 keys
26 AUG 2026 · 16:09 UTC
15.8 keys
13.8 keys
31 AUG 2026 · 22:10 UTC
15.7 keys
13.6 keys
2 SEP 2026 · 00:09 UTC
15.3 keys
13.3 keys
Price history in numbers
41 readings since 25 Sep 2025
Over the last 30 days the Circling Heart Polar Bear's sell price ranged from 15.3 keys to 16.4 keys and is down 6.5% after 8 moves. Over a year it ranged from 13.1 keys to 17.9 keys (down 7.1%). Today's 15.3 keys sits in the middle of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 13.1 keys (12 Jul 2026) and the highest 17.9 keys (19 Apr 2026). The price has moved 40 times since we began recording it — about once every 9 days.