Community price on backpack.tf: 11.0 keys, last changed 2022-10-29 (3.9y ago). The live quote above, 10.1 keys, is 8% lower and last moved 5h ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.
Steam Market asking price: $31.57 — the lowest of one listing for the Nuts n' Bolts effect when we looked on 2026-09-03 01:29 UTC (3d ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 10 keys, 5.44 ref shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Polar Bear”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.
Price history
39 observations
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.
Nuts n' Bolts Polar Bear sell price, 2025-09-25 to 2026-09-05: 39 observations, from 12.2 keys to 10.1 keys.
Observed (UTC)
Sell
Buy
25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC
12.2 keys
9.89 keys
30 SEP 2025 · 21:59 UTC
11.1 keys
9.10 keys
9 OCT 2025 · 09:36 UTC
10.7 keys
9.53 keys
19 OCT 2025 · 21:27 UTC
10.1 keys
9.10 keys
25 OCT 2025 · 17:44 UTC
9.64 keys
8.71 keys
10 NOV 2025 · 01:44 UTC
9.32 keys
8.41 keys
20 MAR 2026 · 02:07 UTC
9.07 keys
6.14 keys
24 MAR 2026 · 20:08 UTC
9.74 keys
6.42 keys
2 APR 2026 · 20:31 UTC
10.2 keys
6.47 keys
11 APR 2026 · 18:31 UTC
10.0 keys
5.51 keys
19 APR 2026 · 10:31 UTC
10.2 keys
7.39 keys
26 APR 2026 · 22:33 UTC
9.75 keys
5.87 keys
3 MAY 2026 · 10:32 UTC
9.60 keys
7.07 keys
10 MAY 2026 · 18:33 UTC
11.9 keys
7.65 keys
17 MAY 2026 · 20:34 UTC
11.8 keys
7.81 keys
24 MAY 2026 · 22:31 UTC
11.9 keys
7.80 keys
3 JUN 2026 · 20:32 UTC
12.6 keys
6.07 keys
8 JUN 2026 · 00:32 UTC
12.4 keys
7.78 keys
15 JUN 2026 · 00:32 UTC
9.91 keys
8.26 keys
22 JUN 2026 · 00:11 UTC
10.2 keys
8.70 keys
1 JUL 2026 · 19:13 UTC
8.46 keys
7.36 keys
22 JUL 2026 · 04:46 UTC
8.45 keys
7.35 keys
12 AUG 2026 · 21:11 UTC
9.07 keys
7.89 keys
20 AUG 2026 · 04:08 UTC
7.80 keys
6.78 keys
21 AUG 2026 · 20:09 UTC
7.69 keys
6.69 keys
22 AUG 2026 · 18:09 UTC
9.09 keys
7.91 keys
23 AUG 2026 · 06:09 UTC
9.40 keys
8.17 keys
23 AUG 2026 · 18:09 UTC
9.48 keys
8.24 keys
24 AUG 2026 · 10:09 UTC
9.48 keys
8.24 keys
24 AUG 2026 · 22:09 UTC
9.51 keys
8.27 keys
25 AUG 2026 · 22:09 UTC
9.54 keys
8.30 keys
26 AUG 2026 · 10:09 UTC
9.57 keys
8.33 keys
26 AUG 2026 · 22:09 UTC
9.59 keys
8.34 keys
27 AUG 2026 · 10:09 UTC
9.60 keys
8.35 keys
28 AUG 2026 · 16:09 UTC
9.61 keys
8.36 keys
4 SEP 2026 · 12:08 UTC
9.38 keys
8.15 keys
5 SEP 2026 · 04:09 UTC
10.3 keys
8.95 keys
5 SEP 2026 · 10:08 UTC
9.89 keys
8.63 keys
5 SEP 2026 · 14:09 UTC
10.1 keys
8.78 keys
Price history in numbers
39 readings since 25 Sep 2025
Over the last 30 days the Nuts n' Bolts Polar Bear's sell price ranged from 7.69 keys to 10.3 keys and is up 11.2% after 16 moves. Over a year it ranged from 7.69 keys to 12.6 keys (down 17.0%). Today's 10.1 keys sits in the middle of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 7.69 keys (21 Aug 2026) and the highest 12.6 keys (3 Jun 2026). The price has moved 38 times since we began recording it — about once every 9 days.
Vintage Specialized Killstreak Lugermorph