← All Polar Bear variants

Smissmas Tree Polar Bear

✦ Smissmas TreeUnusual1mo ago

This price has not changed since 2026-10-01 22:08 UTC. It reflects the last observed trade rather than current market value, and this page is excluded from our sitemap for that reason.

Sell price
9 keys, 21.33 ref
Buy price
8 keys, 7.44 ref
In keys
9.34 keys
In USD
$20.08 at the Steam key rate

Community price on backpack.tf: 25.0 keys, last changed 2023-01-07 (3.8y ago). The live quote above, 9.34 keys, is 63% lower and last moved 1mo ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.

Price history

61 observations

Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.

The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.

Smissmas Tree Polar Bear sell price, 2025-09-25 to 2026-10-30: 61 observations, from 25.4 keys to 10.5 keys. Sampled evenly across the range.
Observed (UTC)SellBuy
25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC25.4 keys20.8 keys
9 OCT 2025 · 09:37 UTC24.3 keys21.8 keys
19 OCT 2025 · 21:28 UTC23.1 keys20.8 keys
10 NOV 2025 · 01:44 UTC23.1 keys20.7 keys
22 JAN 2026 · 03:45 UTC21.1 keys12.7 keys
17 FEB 2026 · 22:40 UTC22.1 keys13.7 keys
22 FEB 2026 · 22:41 UTC20.7 keys12.1 keys
2 APR 2026 · 20:31 UTC22.1 keys15.6 keys
16 APR 2026 · 20:31 UTC21.8 keys12.6 keys
6 MAY 2026 · 00:33 UTC20.8 keys15.0 keys
9 MAY 2026 · 02:33 UTC22.0 keys16.0 keys
2 JUN 2026 · 12:31 UTC21.8 keys11.7 keys
18 JUN 2026 · 02:09 UTC21.7 keys15.1 keys
29 JUN 2026 · 17:12 UTC17.2 keys14.9 keys
12 JUL 2026 · 22:44 UTC17.1 keys14.9 keys
19 JUL 2026 · 22:44 UTC16.7 keys14.5 keys
3 AUG 2026 · 00:24 UTC18.6 keys16.1 keys
10 AUG 2026 · 23:11 UTC18.4 keys16.0 keys
24 AUG 2026 · 02:09 UTC9.53 keys8.29 keys
24 AUG 2026 · 16:09 UTC9.46 keys8.23 keys
25 AUG 2026 · 18:10 UTC9.54 keys8.29 keys
26 AUG 2026 · 06:09 UTC9.57 keys8.32 keys
5 SEP 2026 · 14:09 UTC10.1 keys8.81 keys
6 SEP 2026 · 04:11 UTC9.95 keys8.68 keys
7 SEP 2026 · 04:09 UTC10.1 keys8.82 keys
16 SEP 2026 · 08:08 UTC15.2 keys13.2 keys
20 SEP 2026 · 10:08 UTC9.40 keys8.17 keys
22 SEP 2026 · 02:09 UTC9.49 keys8.25 keys
29 SEP 2026 · 10:09 UTC12.3 keys10.7 keys
6 OCT 2026 · 17:09 UTC13.7 keys11.9 keys
9 OCT 2026 · 23:10 UTC10.3 keys8.97 keys
11 OCT 2026 · 13:08 UTC10.3 keys8.99 keys
12 OCT 2026 · 01:09 UTC10.2 keys8.91 keys
14 OCT 2026 · 09:08 UTC10.4 keys9.07 keys
14 OCT 2026 · 21:08 UTC10.4 keys9.04 keys
17 OCT 2026 · 07:08 UTC10.5 keys9.15 keys
18 OCT 2026 · 01:08 UTC10.5 keys9.14 keys
19 OCT 2026 · 03:08 UTC10.6 keys9.16 keys
19 OCT 2026 · 17:08 UTC10.6 keys9.17 keys
30 OCT 2026 · 19:12 UTC10.5 keys10.5 keys

Price history in numbers

61 readings since 25 Sep 2025

Over the last 30 days the Smissmas Tree Polar Bear's sell price ranged from 10.2 keys to 15.5 keys and is down 23.9% after 15 moves. Over a year it ranged from 9.34 keys to 23.1 keys (down 54.7%). Today's 10.5 keys sits in the lower third of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 9.34 keys (1 Oct 2026) and the highest 25.4 keys (25 Sep 2025). The price has moved 59 times since we began recording it — about once every 7 days.

WindowLowHighChangeMovesReadings
30 days10.2 keys15.5 keys−23.9%1516
90 days9.34 keys18.4 keys−43.0%3435
a year9.34 keys23.1 keys−54.7%5456

Details

SKU30964;5;u205
Last price change2026-10-01 22:08 UTC
Key rate when recorded62.89 ref

Same effect, other items

the effect across the catalogue

Other effects on the Polar Bear

same item, different effect

Priced similarly

across the catalogue
ItemValueUpdated
Smoking Melted Mop9.27 keys1mo ago
Smoking Spiky Viking9.34 keys1mo ago
Duck Token9.51 keys1mo ago
Blizzardy Storm Tungsten Toque9.51 keys1mo ago
Vivid Plasma Elf Ignition9.26 keys1mo ago
Green Confetti Hazard Headgear9.32 keys1mo ago
Aces High Mighty Mitre9.28 keys1mo ago
Kill-a-Watt Pure Tin Capotain9.32 keys1mo ago