Community price on backpack.tf: 8.50–9.50 keys, last changed 2021-10-31 (4.8y ago). The live quote above, 8.70 keys, is inside the community’s range and last moved 1d ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.
Steam Market asking price: $34.76 — the lowest of one listing for the Smoking effect when we looked on 2026-09-03 01:35 UTC (3d ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 8 keys, 45.22 ref shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Valley Forge”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.
Price history
56 observations
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.
Smoking Valley Forge sell price, 2025-09-25 to 2026-09-04: 56 observations, from 9.40 keys to 8.70 keys. Sampled evenly across the range.
Observed (UTC)
Sell
Buy
25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC
9.40 keys
6.85 keys
30 SEP 2025 · 20:54 UTC
9.42 keys
6.89 keys
19 OCT 2025 · 20:23 UTC
8.56 keys
6.89 keys
25 OCT 2025 · 16:44 UTC
8.17 keys
6.59 keys
19 NOV 2025 · 12:37 UTC
9.14 keys
5.89 keys
22 NOV 2025 · 02:39 UTC
9.81 keys
6.35 keys
1 DEC 2025 · 18:51 UTC
9.81 keys
7.14 keys
15 DEC 2025 · 02:42 UTC
10.1 keys
7.59 keys
23 DEC 2025 · 09:07 UTC
9.43 keys
7.50 keys
22 JAN 2026 · 01:43 UTC
8.01 keys
6.43 keys
15 FEB 2026 · 04:40 UTC
8.10 keys
6.96 keys
8 MAR 2026 · 02:42 UTC
7.46 keys
6.46 keys
15 MAR 2026 · 20:07 UTC
8.05 keys
7.25 keys
11 APR 2026 · 12:30 UTC
7.94 keys
5.12 keys
1 MAY 2026 · 10:29 UTC
7.22 keys
5.88 keys
10 MAY 2026 · 18:32 UTC
7.65 keys
6.57 keys
24 MAY 2026 · 22:30 UTC
7.58 keys
6.58 keys
3 JUN 2026 · 22:31 UTC
7.68 keys
6.49 keys
8 JUN 2026 · 12:31 UTC
7.58 keys
6.15 keys
1 JUL 2026 · 11:13 UTC
6.98 keys
6.07 keys
10 JUL 2026 · 16:45 UTC
7.38 keys
6.42 keys
29 JUL 2026 · 08:45 UTC
8.16 keys
7.10 keys
2 AUG 2026 · 10:43 UTC
5.26 keys
4.54 keys
11 AUG 2026 · 13:12 UTC
9.18 keys
7.89 keys
21 AUG 2026 · 14:08 UTC
6.91 keys
6.01 keys
22 AUG 2026 · 02:08 UTC
8.04 keys
6.99 keys
23 AUG 2026 · 10:08 UTC
8.29 keys
7.21 keys
23 AUG 2026 · 22:08 UTC
8.58 keys
7.46 keys
24 AUG 2026 · 16:08 UTC
8.61 keys
7.48 keys
25 AUG 2026 · 22:09 UTC
8.66 keys
7.53 keys
27 AUG 2026 · 00:09 UTC
8.66 keys
7.53 keys
29 AUG 2026 · 14:09 UTC
8.23 keys
7.16 keys
30 AUG 2026 · 06:09 UTC
8.29 keys
7.21 keys
31 AUG 2026 · 08:09 UTC
8.31 keys
7.23 keys
31 AUG 2026 · 20:10 UTC
8.29 keys
7.21 keys
1 SEP 2026 · 08:08 UTC
8.27 keys
7.19 keys
2 SEP 2026 · 08:08 UTC
8.19 keys
7.12 keys
2 SEP 2026 · 20:08 UTC
8.28 keys
7.20 keys
3 SEP 2026 · 20:08 UTC
8.56 keys
7.44 keys
4 SEP 2026 · 08:08 UTC
8.70 keys
7.57 keys
Price history in numbers
56 readings since 25 Sep 2025
Over the last 30 days the Smoking Valley Forge's sell price ranged from 6.91 keys to 9.18 keys and is down 5.2% after 23 moves. Over a year it ranged from 5.26 keys to 10.1 keys (down 7.4%). Today's 8.70 keys sits in the upper third of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 5.26 keys (2 Aug 2026) and the highest 10.1 keys (15 Dec 2025). The price has moved 54 times since we began recording it — about once every 6 days.