This price has not changed since 2026-09-30 16:09 UTC. It reflects the last observed trade rather than current market value, and this page is excluded from our sitemap for that reason.
Community price on backpack.tf: 18.0 keys, last changed 2024-03-22 (2.6y ago). The live quote above, 10.0 keys, is 44% lower and last moved 1mo ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.
Steam Market asking price: $40.01 — the lowest of one listing for the Orbiting Fire effect when we looked on 2026-10-31 01:45 UTC (5d ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 10 keys, 1.44 ref shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Nightcap”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.
Price history
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.
| Observed (UTC) | Sell | Buy |
|---|---|---|
| 25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC | 18.2 keys | 15.0 keys |
| 19 OCT 2025 · 22:30 UTC | 16.6 keys | 14.9 keys |
| 10 NOV 2025 · 02:36 UTC | 16.7 keys | 15.0 keys |
| 1 DEC 2025 · 01:06 UTC | 13.1 keys | 8.82 keys |
| 22 DEC 2025 · 11:17 UTC | 12.2 keys | 9.54 keys |
| 4 JAN 2026 · 22:59 UTC | 10.1 keys | 8.68 keys |
| 29 APR 2026 · 16:30 UTC | 10.5 keys | 7.40 keys |
| 17 MAY 2026 · 20:35 UTC | 10.9 keys | 8.62 keys |
| 8 JUN 2026 · 00:32 UTC | 10.9 keys | 7.34 keys |
| 22 JUN 2026 · 17:13 UTC | 9.41 keys | 8.17 keys |
| 12 JUL 2026 · 22:44 UTC | 9.34 keys | 8.12 keys |
| 3 AUG 2026 · 23:12 UTC | 9.96 keys | 8.68 keys |
| 21 AUG 2026 · 00:09 UTC | 9.69 keys | 8.43 keys |
| 22 AUG 2026 · 10:09 UTC | 9.98 keys | 8.68 keys |
| 27 AUG 2026 · 04:10 UTC | 10.8 keys | 9.38 keys |
| 28 AUG 2026 · 03:05 UTC | 10.2 keys | 8.84 keys |
| 1 SEP 2026 · 22:08 UTC | 10.4 keys | 9.02 keys |
| 4 SEP 2026 · 04:09 UTC | 10.9 keys | 9.49 keys |
| 6 SEP 2026 · 00:09 UTC | 10.1 keys | 8.85 keys |
| 8 SEP 2026 · 08:09 UTC | 9.96 keys | 8.68 keys |
| 9 SEP 2026 · 16:10 UTC | 9.83 keys | 8.54 keys |
| 10 SEP 2026 · 02:09 UTC | 10.1 keys | 8.82 keys |
| 10 SEP 2026 · 10:10 UTC | 10.2 keys | 8.89 keys |
| 10 SEP 2026 · 22:08 UTC | 10.4 keys | 9.05 keys |
| 13 SEP 2026 · 06:08 UTC | 9.97 keys | 8.69 keys |
| 15 SEP 2026 · 02:08 UTC | 9.30 keys | 8.09 keys |
| 15 SEP 2026 · 20:09 UTC | 10.1 keys | 8.80 keys |
| 24 SEP 2026 · 16:09 UTC | 10.5 keys | 9.12 keys |
| 25 SEP 2026 · 00:08 UTC | 10.2 keys | 8.83 keys |
| 25 SEP 2026 · 10:08 UTC | 10.6 keys | 9.23 keys |
| 25 SEP 2026 · 18:09 UTC | 11.1 keys | 9.69 keys |
| 28 SEP 2026 · 10:08 UTC | 10.2 keys | 8.91 keys |
| 29 SEP 2026 · 08:09 UTC | 9.93 keys | 8.64 keys |
| 29 SEP 2026 · 16:11 UTC | 10.1 keys | 8.79 keys |
| 5 OCT 2026 · 21:09 UTC | 10.3 keys | 8.96 keys |
| 10 OCT 2026 · 17:10 UTC | 8.40 keys | 7.30 keys |
| 18 OCT 2026 · 05:08 UTC | 10.1 keys | 8.77 keys |
| 23 OCT 2026 · 21:13 UTC | 9.81 keys | 8.86 keys |
| 28 OCT 2026 · 23:12 UTC | 9.74 keys | 8.89 keys |
| 2 NOV 2026 · 01:12 UTC | 9.66 keys | 9.56 keys |
Price history in numbers
106 readings since 25 Sep 2025Over the last 30 days the Orbiting Fire Nightcap's sell price ranged from 8.37 keys to 10.1 keys and is down 3.1% after 12 moves. Over a year it ranged from 8.37 keys to 16.7 keys (down 42.3%). Today's 9.66 keys sits in the lower third of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 8.37 keys (12 Oct 2026) and the highest 18.3 keys (30 Sep 2025). The price has moved 105 times since we began recording it — about once every 4 days.
| Window | Low | High | Change | Moves | Readings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 days | 8.37 keys | 10.1 keys | −3.1% | 12 | 13 |
| 90 days | 8.37 keys | 11.2 keys | −4.5% | 74 | 75 |
| a year | 8.37 keys | 16.7 keys | −42.3% | 100 | 101 |
Details
| SKU | 31422;5;u33 |
|---|---|
| Last price change | 2026-09-30 16:09 UTC |
| Key rate when recorded | 63.00 ref |
Same effect, other items
the effect across the catalogue| Item | Value | Updated |
|---|---|---|
| 1,600 keys | 12mo ago | |
| 1,500 keys | 12mo ago | |
| 1,350 keys | 12mo ago | |
| 780 keys | 12mo ago | |
| 527 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 450 keys | 12mo ago | |
| 280 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 285 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 248 keys | 2mo ago | |
| 228 keys | 1mo ago |
Other effects on the Nightcap
same item, different effect| Item | Value | Updated |
|---|---|---|
| 78.3 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 70.2 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 51.7 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 50.8 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 50.9 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 36.2 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 35.6 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 33.7 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 30.2 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 29.1 keys | 1mo ago |
Priced similarly
across the catalogue| Item | Value | Updated |
|---|---|---|
| 9.83 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 9.90 keys | 2mo ago | |
| 9.82 keys | 3mo ago | |
 Strange Specialized Killstreak Australium SMG | 10.0 keys | 1mo ago |
| 9.97 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 9.97 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 9.97 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 9.97 keys | 1mo ago |